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Gold reversed from $4,000 and returned to $4,061 a day before the Fed decision

On Tuesday XAU/USD hit an intraday low of $3,989, reversed and gained more than 1%, rising to $4,061. The rally occurred despite a stronger dollar and rising US Treasury yields.

France's debt problems are dragging the euro down for a fifth day: EUR/USD around 1.1145

The euro is weakening against all major currencies due to the state of France's public finances and a sell-off in its bond market. The EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.1145 and is falling for a fifth session in a row - on the eve of back-to-back Fed and ECB decisions.

Deutsche Börse has launched 24/7 trading in DAX 40 stocks

On October 27, Deutsche Börse Group launched round-the-clock trading in stocks from the DAX 40 index — at night and on weekends, trades take place on the 360X venue. The group calls itself the first infrastructure in Europe to offer a 24/7 regime for traditional blue-chip stocks.

Consumer confidence soared to 91.7 versus 81.2: a signal against a US recession

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index for October came in at 91.7 versus a forecast of 81.2 and the September reading of 81.9. The miss versus consensus is more than 10 points, one of the largest surprises for this indicator in recent times.

Ahead of the Fed decision, the dollar index is at a two-week high, while Gold failed to hold $4,000

XAU/USD is fluctuating around $4,000 on Tuesday and has already dipped below it, despite easing US rate expectations. Trading is taking place near $4,012, slightly above last week's three-month low of $3,975.

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Kraken moves into US perpetual futures: the first CFTC-supervised market on Hyperliquid

Payward, the parent company of the Kraken exchange, is set to become the first operator of perpetual futures on the Hyperliquid blockchain operating under the supervision of the US regulator CFTC. The announcement came out on October 26, 2026; no launch date was given.

On Monday, inflows into Bitcoin ETFs brought in $110 million, but October is still down by $202 million

U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (funds whose shares trade on an exchange and track the price of the asset) attracted about $110 million on Monday, October 26. This only offset part of the $773.5 million outflow over the previous two sessions, and for the month as a whole the funds are still losing money.

Japan's Finance Ministry ready for 'decisive steps': USD/JPY around 157.70

Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said on Tuesday, October 27, that the government is ready for decisive action in the currency market. This is a direct hint at intervention - selling dollars from reserves to support the yen.

Ripple received a banking license in the US: cryptocurrency regulation has reached RLUSD reserves

The US Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC, the regulator of national banks) has granted Ripple final approval to launch Ripple National Trust Bank. Now the $2.5 billion in RLUSD stablecoin reserves will be managed under federal oversight.

US stocks, including Nasdaq, reverse upward after last week's rout

On Monday, October 26, the US stock market staged a powerful rebound after the sharp sell-off of the previous week. Two stories at once served as the trigger: Anthropic's stock market debut and the talks in Tehran.

WTI pulled back from a five-month high of $103.28 to $100: oil prices cooled ahead of the Fed

WTI crude (the U.S. benchmark grade, with futures traded on the NYMEX exchange) slipped on Monday from its peak level of $103.28 - a five-month high - to around $100.51. The market paused ahead of a week with three central bank meetings at once.

Week of three rates: Fed meeting on October 28, then ECB and Bank of Japan

From October 28 to 30, four central banks issue rate decisions, and on the 29th US GDP and PCE come out at the same time. The market has already priced in rates staying unchanged, so it will be the wording, not the numbers themselves, that moves the instruments.

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Trump postponed strike on Iran: Brent oil price loses 1.8%

By 05:50 Moscow time on Monday, Brent is at $114.60 per barrel versus Friday's close of $116.72 - the highest since April. The market has begun giving back part of the war premium, but oil is still twice as expensive as in February.

Rebound from a three-month low: gold price back above $4,000

Spot gold gained 0.4% to $4,009.87 per ounce by 06:42 Moscow time on Monday. This is a rebound after the worst week since June: over the week the metal lost 4% and closed below the round $4,000 mark for the first time since mid-July.

94 out of 100 economists expect a pause at the Fed meeting on Wednesday, but all 100 expect a hike in December

On October 28 at 21:00 Moscow time, the Fed will announce its rate decision, and the market expects almost no move: the probability of a hike fell from 73% to 9.4%. The main focus will be the wording of the statement and the press conference at 21:30 Moscow time.

US urgently evacuates people from the Middle East: crypto market slumps, Bitcoin falls below $80,000

On Saturday, October 24, BTC lost 2.2% in a day and dropped to $79,700 - its weakest level in more than a month. The reason is not market-related: Washington is urgently evacuating embassy and military base personnel from the region.

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Services 57.9, manufacturing 56.0, selling prices - highest since August 2022 ahead of the Fed meeting

S&P Global released preliminary US business activity indices for October today at 16:45 MSK. The indices themselves cooled slightly, but companies' selling prices are rising at the fastest pace in more than four years - and that's a week before the Fed meeting.

Trump on Iran and the Strait of Hormuz: Brent oil price soared above $116

On October 23, Brent crude passed two round marks in a matter of minutes: at 16:49 Moscow time the price went above $115, and already at 16:58 Moscow time - above $116. The reason - a sharp escalation of rhetoric around Iran.

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Gold broke below $4,000: gold price fell to a three-month low

On Thursday, October 22, XAU/USD lost more than 2% and dropped to $4,047, and in the Asian session on October 23 it reached **$3,986.74** - the lowest level in three months. The $4,066.64-$4,227.90 corridor, in which the metal had traded for three weeks since the start of October, was broken to the downside.