Live updates: promos, term changes, new challenges, payouts.
Initial jobless claims in the US came in at 197K versus a forecast of 200K. The market read the data as a signal of no mass layoffs: government bond yields rose, while US indices moved lower.
Fed Board of Governors member Christopher Waller said that inflation in the US remains too high and further rate hikes are still necessary. At the same time, new steps may come with pauses, rather than at every consecutive meeting.
ESMA has required MiCA-licensed crypto exchanges, brokers, and custodians to cease services with stablecoins that do not meet European regulatory requirements. A deadline of January 8, 2027 has been set for closing and transferring existing positions.
On October 8, WTI oil rose to $90.87 and at one point approached $91.00, gaining about 3% in a day. The rise was supported by new attacks on facilities in Saudi Arabia, risks to shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, and a decline in US oil inventories.
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs lost $484.9 million in a single session, marking the largest daily outflow since June 25. After that, October's overall result turned from positive to negative and now stands at about -$163 million.
On the evening of October 7, Ethereum dropped to $2,570, definitively breaking through the $2,700 zone. Over the day, $233.36 million in positions were liquidated on ETH, with about 95% of that amount coming from longs.
Today, October 8, from 14:30 to 15:30 MSK, three important macro events come out in a row: the ECB protocols, a speech by Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and weekly US jobless claims. In one hour-long window, the euro, pound and dollar will be under reaction.
The minutes of the September FOMC meeting showed that most participants consider another rate hike by the end of 2026 appropriate. At the same time, the market reaction was limited, as such a scenario had already been priced into the Fed's September projections.
Gold declined after the publication of the minutes of the September Fed meeting. XAU/USD briefly dropped to $4,066, the lowest level in about two months, amid a stronger dollar and rising US bond yields.
IEA countries have decided to accelerate the release of oil and petroleum products from state reserves. If the entire previously promised but not yet realized volume reaches the market, additional supply could amount to up to 100 million barrels.
The September New York Fed survey showed Americans' one-year-ahead inflation expectations rising to 3.9% versus 3.6% a month earlier. This is the highest reading since May 2023 and another argument for the Fed to remain cautious with rates.
The DXY dollar index rose to 102.35, approaching the yearly high of 102.50. The main support for the dollar comes from US Treasury yields, which are near more than two-decade highs.
On October 7, Bitcoin broke through $83,000 and dropped to $82,734 on Bitstamp, updating its October low. Pressure came from external markets: Brent rose above $102, and US government bond yields reached 24-year highs.
The yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds has risen to 5.70%, the highest level since 2002. Rising yields increase pressure on gold, raise borrowing costs and make stocks less attractive relative to government debt.
On October 6, U.S. spot crypto ETFs diverged: Bitcoin funds received $118.8 million in inflows, while Ethereum funds saw $201.9 million in outflows. Overall, across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, the day closed with a net outflow of approximately $86.8 million.
Over the past three weeks, wallets with a balance of 10 to 10,000 BTC increased their holdings by 86,702 BTC, and their combined balance reached its highest level since April 23. At the same time, a large outflow of coins from exchanges continues.
Today at 21:00 MSK the Fed publishes the minutes of the September 15-16 meeting. The market will look in the document for details of the debate within the committee on inflation, the labor market and the further rate trajectory ahead of the next meeting on October 27-28.
Over the past 24 hours, positions worth $555.6 million were forcibly closed on the crypto market, with about 88% of the amount coming from longs. Bitcoin at one point dropped below $84,000, and the low on Coinbase was $83,551.
USD/CAD rose to 1.4293 on October 6, an 18-month high. The Canadian dollar is declining for the third session in a row amid weak oil, and the pair itself already looks technically overbought.
In the week to September 27, 23,137 BTC were withdrawn from Binance, and since September 20 the exchange's reserves have shrunk by almost 40,000 BTC. At the same time, large players increased the volume of stablecoins on the platform, creating a potential reserve of liquidity for future purchases.
Starting October 1, the two-stage Hash Hedge challenge for $25,000 is available for $249. In relative terms, this is approximately $100 of Funded capital for every $1 of the challenge cost.
On October 5, US exchange-traded funds on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana showed a combined outflow of about $117.9 million. The bulk came from BTC funds, from which investors withdrew $89.8 million.
EUR/USD fell to 1.1160, its lowest level in 17 months. Pressure on the euro was intensified by weak German industrial orders, which fell 10.6% in August against a forecast of a decline of only 1%.
