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The main survey on the US services sector for October was released on November 4 at 18:00 MSK and came in weaker than both the forecast and September: 54.5 versus the expected 54.8 and 54.9 a month earlier. Values above 50 indicate sector growth, so services are expanding, but more slowly.
The Eurozone consumer price report is due on November 4 - forecast at 4.0% year-on-year versus 3.8% a month earlier. The US session adds ADP employment data and the ISM services business activity index, while in the US Democrats have taken both the House and the Senate.
S&P Global Ratings affirmed Meta's AA- credit rating but changed its outlook from "stable" to "negative". The reason is spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure: for the quarter, it exceeded the money the company earned from operations.
S&P Global released preliminary US business activity indices for October today at 16:45 MSK. The indices themselves cooled slightly, but companies' selling prices are rising at the fastest pace in more than four years - and that's a week before the Fed meeting.
In the early hours of Friday, gold (XAU/USD) fell to $3,986 - below $4,000 for the first time since July. Before that, on Thursday, the metal lost 2.81% over the session. By midday the price had rebounded to $4,029, but gold is closing the week down more than 3%.
The preliminary business activity indices for October came in above forecasts across all three sectors, yet the pound barely gained against the dollar - but it pushed the euro to a 17-month low.
September consumer price data was released at 02:30 Moscow time and came in above August levels across all measures. The yen strengthened, and the market is once again betting on a Bank of Japan rate hike in December.
Meta publishes its third-quarter report today, October 21. The market is looking not so much at profit as at capital expenditures (money for data centers, servers and AI chips): the company's annual guidance is $130-145 billion, and sentiment across the entire technology sector depends on it.
Reserve Bank of Australia Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser said the inflation forecast looks worse than the bank's own calculations. AUD/USD rose about 0.45%, broke through the round 0.7000 level and reached 0.7017 - a two-week high and the fourth consecutive gain.
