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Oil gained $2.63 per barrel on Friday after the fourth tanker attack in the Strait of Hormuz this month. Today seven OPEC+ countries are meeting online, but according to Reuters, everything is decided in advance for December: production will be left as is.
As of Friday, October 30, Apple's market capitalization stood at $5.03 trillion versus $4.93 trillion for Nvidia. The reason for the leadership change is not Apple's growth but a crash in semiconductors: Nasdaq Composite -3.37%, the chipmaker sector index Philadelphia Semiconductor -8.7%.
On Friday, South Korea's main KOSPI index plummeted 5.25% to 5,626.02 points (05:20 MSK). SK hynix lost 8.65%, Samsung Electronics - 6.03%. The reason is investors' doubts about the returns on artificial intelligence investments, not poor earnings reports.
The Bank of Japan kept its short-term rate at 1.25% with an 8-1 vote and noticeably tightened its language: core inflation hit the 2% target for the first time since 2013. The yen is strengthening, USD/JPY falls for the third day in a row.
Reuters reported on October 28 that Bloomberg, Susquehanna International Group and Jump Trading have subscribed to the Truth API — a paid data feed from Trump Media that delivers Donald Trump's posts roughly 50 milliseconds faster than the social network's regular notifications. The subscription costs between $60,000 and $100,000 a month.
Brent futures (the North Sea benchmark crude) fell about 1% on Thursday to $114.20 a barrel, while WTI (the U.S. benchmark) dropped 1.4% to $101.40. The market is simultaneously pricing in two scenarios from Washington: an offer of talks to Iran and preparations for a strike after the November 3 election.
On 28 October, UK Chancellor Healey presented the annual budget to Parliament. The OBR (Office for Budget Responsibility, an independent state body that produces the forecasts underpinning the budget) downgraded its economic growth estimates, and the free fiscal buffer shrank from £23.6bn in March to £15bn.
On October 28, Tehran publicly rejected the draft agreement passed by Qatari mediators and stated that the nuclear program is not a subject for discussion at all. Oil reacted with a rise: WTI gained more than 1% and traded around $100.80.
On October 28 at 21:00 Moscow time, the Fed will announce its rate decision, and the market expects almost no move: the probability of a hike fell from 73% to 9.4%. The main focus will be the wording of the statement and the press conference at 21:30 Moscow time.
On Thursday, October 22, the Nasdaq Composite closed at 26,008.86 - down 694 points, or 2.6%. The main blow fell on chipmakers: the Philadelphia Semiconductor sector index plunged 6.72%.
After softer inflation data, the market sharply lowered expectations for a Fed rate hike in October. The probability of such a decision dropped to about 35-37%, whereas at the beginning of the week it exceeded 70%
