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At the Bank of Japan, they are leaning toward leaving the rate unchanged at the October 30 meeting. Against this backdrop, the probability of an October hike has fallen to about 10%, and USD/JPY is holding near 158.50, close to monthly highs.
Last week, Strive increased its Bitcoin reserves by another 3,311 BTC. The purchase became part of a corporate strategy of holding BTC on the balance sheet as a long-term reserve asset.
Iran announced a strike on a third supertanker in the Strait of Hormuz in two days. Only one incident has been independently confirmed, but Brent crude rose to $106.80 amid new risks per
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said the U.S. economy remains strong and inflation is high. In her view, the Fed needs to continue tightening monetary policy, although the pace of rate hikes may be adjusted.
On October 12, gold lost 1.49% and dropped from $4,217 to $4,163 per ounce. Pressure came from rising oil, a stronger dollar, and high US bond yields.
The DXY dollar index broke through 102.50 and reached its highest level since April 2025. Since the September low, the index has gained about 4% and is heading for a fourth consecutive rising week amid demand for safe-haven assets and a new wave of geopolitical tensions.
In September, Canada lost 68.3 thousand jobs, while employment growth was expected at 7 thousand. Unemployment rose to 6.5%, and USD/CAD climbed to 1.4276 amid a sharp drop in Canadian bond yields.
On October 8, the Nasdaq 100 lost more than 300 points in about 30 minutes after reports that OpenAI's annual revenue run rate was closer to $50 billion rather than the previously discussed $70 billion. High bond yields and oil above $100 added to the pressure.
Fed Board of Governors member Christopher Waller said that inflation in the US remains too high and further rate hikes are still necessary. At the same time, new steps may come with pauses, rather than at every consecutive meeting.
