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The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index for October came in at 91.7 versus a forecast of 81.2 and the September reading of 81.9. The miss versus consensus is more than 10 points, one of the largest surprises for this indicator in recent times.
On Monday, October 26, the US stock market staged a powerful rebound after the sharp sell-off of the previous week. Two stories at once served as the trigger: Anthropic's stock market debut and the talks in Tehran.
Meta (recognized as extremist and banned in Russia) announced the placement of new securities worth $35B. The money will go toward capital expenditures in artificial intelligence - this is one of the largest amounts raised of this kind among technology companies.
Microsoft publishes first-quarter fiscal 2027 results on Wednesday, October 28, after the US market close - the same evening as the Fed decision and Alphabet's report. For Nasdaq, this is a concentrated test of whether AI infrastructure investments are paying off.
Gold fell below the round mark of $4000 per ounce for the first time since July, dropping to $3,986.85. The decline followed the collapse of US technology stocks: investors sold the metal to cover margin calls on other positions.
On Thursday, October 22, the Nasdaq Composite closed at 26,008.86 - down 694 points, or 2.6%. The main blow fell on chipmakers: the Philadelphia Semiconductor sector index plunged 6.72%.
On Friday, October 23, at the start of the US session, BTC plunged to $80,988 - the low of the day. At the same time, Brent crude jumped about 3% to $116 per barrel, for the first time since March 19, and US stocks closed the week in the red.
On Thursday Brent rose 2.6% to $111.66 per barrel - a five-month high, and in the evening Moscow time quotes went above $113. The rally was driven by Houthi attacks on Saudi infrastructure and expectations of a new military escalation around Iran.
The American broker Robinhood (traded on Nasdaq under the ticker HOOD) has officially received approval from Dubai authorities to launch cryptocurrency trading. This opens the door for the company to enter the Middle East market.
US trading on October 22 opened with a decline, and by 17:27 Moscow time the Nasdaq 100 index had fallen by about 2%. The day before, the same index closed almost unchanged, and after the market close it was up about 1% on futures - the reversal was sharp.
BTC's trip to $85,000 ended in a reversal: from a high of $84,840 the price fell to $81,500, down almost 3%. The trigger did not come from crypto - the market was disappointed by Tesla's earnings report, and $431 million in leveraged positions were wiped out in a day.
On Thursday, October 22, Asian markets crashed: China's CSI 300 index lost 2% during the session and fell 20% from its June high. A 20% drop from the peak is the formal definition of a bear market.
SkyAI (traded on Nasdaq, formerly called Sharps Technology) completely sold off its treasury reserve of Solana - more than 2M SOL at an average price of $107.51 per coin. By October 16, it had $223.8M in cash and zero cryptocurrency.
Tesla published its third-quarter report on October 21 at 23:04 Moscow time. Adjusted profit came in better than forecast - 48 cents per share versus the expected 44, while total revenue fell slightly short: $28.05 billion versus the forecast of $28.13 billion.
Overnight on October 21, Bitcoin broke through the $84,000 ceiling for the first time in a week and reached $84,726, but by the morning of October 22 it had slid to $82,600. Crypto reversed course following futures on US tech indices.
Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META; the company is recognized as extremist and banned in the Russian Federation) on October 21 reported revenue above forecast, but on the same day a court in New Mexico ordered it to pay $25 billion in a data privacy case. The shares reacted with a rise of about 2%, to $708.
Meta publishes its third-quarter report today, October 21. The market is looking not so much at profit as at capital expenditures (money for data centers, servers and AI chips): the company's annual guidance is $130-145 billion, and sentiment across the entire technology sector depends on it.
According to calculations by analytics firm K33, BTC's 28-day realized volatility (a measure of the actual magnitude of price fluctuations over a period) has dropped to 1.2% - nearly the lowest value for all of 2026. The market has frozen right before the Fed meeting and the US elections.
In 24 hours, BTC gained about 2.4% and rose to $83,500 - a weekly high. The rebound follows last week's decline, when crypto tumbled along with Nasdaq on a hot US inflation report.
On Tuesday and Wednesday after the US market close, quarterly reports from Tesla, Meta, Netflix and SpaceX are released. Nasdaq values just the first three at a combined $3.6 trillion - the reaction in their shares drags the entire tech sector along with it.
At 05:00 Moscow time, China's National Bureau of Statistics reported economic growth of 4.5% in the third quarter against expectations of 4.4%. The data came in better than forecast on almost all counts, and risk appetite lifted Bitcoin, Nasdaq futures and Asian stocks.
On Friday, October 16, the US stock market closed lower: Nasdaq lost 2.3%, S&P 500 - 1.2%. For the week, the Nasdaq 100 posted its steepest decline since April 2025.
On October 15 at 15:30 Moscow time, the US released the producer price index for September (PPI - the prices at which factories and suppliers sell goods, that is, inflation at the input to the economy). The monthly increase was +1.3%: more than double expectations and triple August's +0.4%.
US September inflation came in above forecast: 3.7% versus expected 3.6%. Today, October 15, the market will receive three more important data blocks - PPI, retail sales and weekly jobless claims.
