Live updates: promos, term changes, new challenges, payouts.
The US Department of Labor reported on Thursday at 16:30 Moscow time: in the week to October 31, initial jobless claims came in at 189K versus a forecast of 196K. Layoffs in the American economy are lower than expected - and this is a day before the main employment report.
The DXY dollar index (the dollar's exchange rate against six major currencies) is falling for the second day in a row and in Thursday's Asian session reached 101.20 - its lowest value in a month. Pressure comes from the results of the US midterm elections and a sharp drop in oil.
The DXY dollar index (the dollar's exchange rate against a basket of major currencies) headed toward the 101.00 area on Wednesday, November 4 - a five-week low - losing about 0.5% and falling below 101.50. On Thursday, two catalysts for movement hit the market at once: US labor market statistics and the Bank of England meeting.
The DXY dollar index fell to 101.40 (-0.44% for the day) after the Democrats took both chambers of Congress. Yet the yen failed to capitalize on this: USD/JPY holds near 158.32, having lost just 0.24%.
On October 29, XAU/USD fell more than 1% - from the day's high of $4,069 to $4,019. Strong US economic data interrupted gold's three-day winning streak and reinforced the market's bet that the Fed will raise rates in December.
On October 29, the euro fell to 1.1104 - its weakest level since May 2025. The reason is twofold: the ECB left rates unchanged, while US inflation accelerated, and the market began seriously expecting not a cut but a Fed rate hike in December.
A day of double macro statistics: first the US data block at 15:30, then the ECB rate decision at 16:15 and the press conference at 16:45. In the evening, reports from Amazon, Intel and Coinbase are added.
From October 28 to 30, four central banks issue rate decisions, and on the 29th US GDP and PCE come out at the same time. The market has already priced in rates staying unchanged, so it will be the wording, not the numbers themselves, that moves the instruments.
On Thursday, October 22, XAU/USD lost more than 2% and dropped to $4,047, and in the Asian session on October 23 it reached **$3,986.74** - the lowest level in three months. The $4,066.64-$4,227.90 corridor, in which the metal had traded for three weeks since the start of October, was broken to the downside.
The EUR/USD pair on Thursday, October 22, fell below 1.1200 at the opening of the American session. In the morning, buyers tried to consolidate above 1.1250, but they were knocked out of there: the euro was hit simultaneously by the French debt market and rising oil prices.
The US Department of Labor reported: for the week ending October 17, initial jobless claims totaled 194K versus the expected 200K. This is one of the lowest levels in recent months, and the dollar immediately recovered part of its recent decline.
The DXY dollar index (the dollar's exchange rate against a basket of major currencies) has fallen to a three-week low of around 101.50. Over the week, the dollar lost between 0.53% and 0.76% against each of the major currencies.
Overnight into Thursday, XAU/USD lost about 1% and moved to $4,095 - a one-week low. The reason is unusual: the market expects not a cut but a Fed rate hike in December, and money is leaving the metal that pays no interest.
Reserve Bank of Australia Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser said the inflation forecast looks worse than the bank's own calculations. AUD/USD rose about 0.45%, broke through the round 0.7000 level and reached 0.7017 - a two-week high and the fourth consecutive gain.
US September inflation came in above forecast: 3.7% versus expected 3.6%. Today, October 15, the market will receive three more important data blocks - PPI, retail sales and weekly jobless claims.
On Wednesday, October 14 at 15:30 MSK, the US will publish September CPI. The market expects headline inflation to accelerate to 3.6% year over year, while the monthly core reading, on the contrary, may slow to 0.2%.
Gold is recovering for the second day in a row after falling to $4,066, a two-month low. By the morning of October 9, XAU/USD had risen to the $4,140-4,150 area, adding about 2% from the weekly low.
Initial jobless claims in the US came in at 197K versus a forecast of 200K. The market read the data as a signal of no mass layoffs: government bond yields rose, while US indices moved lower.
Today, October 8, from 14:30 to 15:30 MSK, three important macro events come out in a row: the ECB protocols, a speech by Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and weekly US jobless claims. In one hour-long window, the euro, pound and dollar will be under reaction.
Gold declined after the publication of the minutes of the September Fed meeting. XAU/USD briefly dropped to $4,066, the lowest level in about two months, amid a stronger dollar and rising US bond yields.
Today at 15:30 MSK, the US publishes the September employment report. The market expects about +90 thousand new jobs and unemployment at 4.1%, but heightened attention will be on wages amid a sharp rise in US bond yields.
