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Japanese producer output prices rose 7.1% year-on-year in October instead of the expected 6.5%. This increases pressure on the Bank of Japan to raise the rate on December 17-18 - the third time in a calendar year, something that has not happened since 1989.
The yen weakens for the second day in a row after October US inflation data. The market has almost fully priced in a Fed rate hike in December, and less than a figure remains to the 160 level, near which Tokyo has already entered the market with interventions.
On Thursday, November 5, the Japanese yen became the strongest currency of the day: money fled from US tech stocks into it, and the Bank of Japan's minutes added to expectations of a December rate hike.
The DXY dollar index broke through 102.50 and reached its highest level since April 2025. Since the September low, the index has gained about 4% and is heading for a fourth consecutive rising week amid demand for safe-haven assets and a new wave of geopolitical tensions.
The dollar is declining against major currencies for the second session in a row. EUR/USD rose to 1.1230, while USD/JPY fell below 158.00 amid a pullback in US Treasury yields and a decline in the geopolitical premium.
