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At 03:00 Moscow time on November 5, the Bank of Japan published the minutes of the September meeting: board members agreed that the rate should continue to be raised. The yen is strengthening for the second day in a row, USD/JPY slid to 158.25, EUR/JPY to 177.90.
On the morning of November 2, the head of the Bank of Japan once again signaled readiness to raise the key rate. No specific dates or figures were announced, but for the market this is not the first such hint in recent months.
At 13:00 Moscow time on October 30, the preliminary estimate of Eurozone GDP for the third quarter of 2026 was released. The bloc's economy grew 0.4% quarter-on-quarter against a forecast of +0.2% - that is, twice as strong as the market expected.
The Bank of Japan kept its short-term rate at 1.25% with an 8-1 vote and noticeably tightened its language: core inflation hit the 2% target for the first time since 2013. The yen is strengthening, USD/JPY falls for the third day in a row.
The European Central Bank holds its rate meeting today, October 29. According to a Bloomberg survey, analysts unanimously expect the rate to remain unchanged.
Pierre Wunsch, Governor of the National Bank of Belgium and member of the ECB Governing Council, said that at the next meeting the regulator will most likely raise the rate. For the market, this is an important signal, since expectations of a tighter policy directly affect the euro and asset yields in the eurozone.
The dollar is declining against major currencies for the second session in a row. EUR/USD rose to 1.1230, while USD/JPY fell below 158.00 amid a pullback in US Treasury yields and a decline in the geopolitical premium.
