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On Friday the euro broke below the March 2025 levels against the British pound: the EUR/GBP pair touched 0.8336, a 19-month low. Strong eurozone economic data failed to convince the market, while the pound is rising on expectations that the Bank of England will raise rates as early as next week.
At 13:00 Moscow time on October 30, the preliminary estimate of Eurozone GDP for the third quarter of 2026 was released. The bloc's economy grew 0.4% quarter-on-quarter against a forecast of +0.2% - that is, twice as strong as the market expected.
The European Central Bank holds its rate meeting today, October 29. According to a Bloomberg survey, analysts unanimously expect the rate to remain unchanged.
Today at 09:00 Moscow time, the UK reports its September consumer price index. Consensus is +3.4% year-on-year vs 3.1% in August. If the figure is confirmed, this will be the third consecutive month of acceleration.
EUR/GBP fell to 0.8442, the lowest level since June 2025. In less than three weeks, the pair lost about 1.92%, which is a notable move for an usually calm cross rate.
Pierre Wunsch, Governor of the National Bank of Belgium and member of the ECB Governing Council, said that at the next meeting the regulator will most likely raise the rate. For the market, this is an important signal, since expectations of a tighter policy directly affect the euro and asset yields in the eurozone.
EUR/USD lost about 0.85% on Monday and fell just above 1.1150, hitting its lowest since May 2025. Pressure on the euro intensified due to rising French government bond yields and uncertainty surrounding the country's budget.
