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Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Lori Logan said the Fed rate needs to be raised by at least another 50 basis points so that monetary policy becomes moderately restrictive and helps bring inflation back to the 2% target.
On the morning of October 2, Bitcoin rose above $86,000 after nearly a week of consolidation. Large sell orders around $85,000 that had been holding back growth were removed, and inflows into spot BTC ETFs intensified again.
Today at 15:30 MSK, the US publishes the September employment report. The market expects about +90 thousand new jobs and unemployment at 4.1%, but heightened attention will be on wages amid a sharp rise in US bond yields.
US President Donald Trump said that in the absence of an acceptable agreement, Washington may resume or intensify strikes on Iran after the midterm elections. The conflict has been ongoing for about seven months, and the situation around the Strait of Hormuz remains one of the key risks for the oil market.
The USD/CHF pair rose to 0.8367 on the morning of October 1, a 16-month high, and has been rising for the seventh consecutive trading session. Pressure on the franc was intensified by weak investor expectations for the Swiss economy and the SNB's dovish stance.
US Core PCE for August slowed to 3.0% year-over-year versus a forecast of 3.3%. After the release, the dollar and government bond yields declined, while the probability of a Fed rate hike in October decreased.
Robinhood has begun rolling out perpetual crypto futures trading for clients in the US. At launch, 8 assets are available, leverage up to 10x, settlement every 15 minutes, and a 0.01% fee per trade until the end of the year.
Today, September 30, at 15:30 MSK, the US releases Core PCE. The forecast is 0.3% versus 0.2% a month earlier. The indicator is important for assessing the further trajectory of the Fed rate.
On September 28, CryptoQuant analysts recorded that the volume of altcoins traders transfer from their wallets to exchanges rose to its highest level since October 2025. This is usually what preparation for profit-taking looks like after a strong rally.
On Friday, October 2, at 15:30 Moscow time, the US employment report is released. This week this is the main macro event: the bond market has already repriced levels, and the Fed raised rates for the first time in more than three years. The Employment Situation release is indeed scheduled for October 2 at 08:30 ET, that is, 15:30 Moscow time.
