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PropMarketCapFRESHMacroeconomics and central banks

Pound slips to 1.3300 ahead of UK budget - Fed meeting today at 21:00 MSK

Today at 15:30 MSK UK Finance Minister John Healey presents his first annual budget, and at 21:00 MSK the Fed will announce its rate. GBP/USD is already at 1.3300 - the lowest since October 19.

PropMarketCapFRESHCurrencies, commodities and indices

Ahead of the Fed, the dollar index rose to 101.87, USD/JPY at 157.36, the pound surrendered its five-week peak

On Monday, October 26, the dollar strengthened against major currencies ahead of the Fed meeting on Wednesday. The yen is the weakest in the basket, the pound slipped from its recent peak of 1.3419 to levels below 1.3350.

PropMarketCapFRESHMacroeconomics and central banks

UK PMI: 53.1 vs forecast 51.8 - best growth in eight months

The preliminary business activity indices for October came in above forecasts across all three sectors, yet the pound barely gained against the dollar - but it pushed the euro to a 17-month low.

PropMarketCapFRESHMacroeconomics and central banks

UK publishes inflation: forecast 3.4% vs 3.1% a month earlier

Today at 09:00 Moscow time, the UK reports its September consumer price index. Consensus is +3.4% year-on-year vs 3.1% in August. If the figure is confirmed, this will be the third consecutive month of acceleration.

PropMarketCapFRESHMacroeconomics and central banks

Dollar slumped: Warsh gave no hints on the Fed rate, DXY at a 10-day low

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh spoke at 06:30 MSK at the IMF annual meeting in Bangkok and refused to give any hints on the rate. The dollar index DXY (the dollar's exchange rate against a basket of six currencies) moved to 101.82, down 0.22% and a 10-day low.

PropMarketCapFRESHMacroeconomics and central banks

UK GDP turned positive instead of falling: GBP/USD rose to 1.3242

The UK economy grew by 0.1% month-on-month in August, against a forecast of a 0.1% decline. After the data release, the pound strengthened, and GBP/USD rose by about 0.37%, to 1.3242.

PropMarketCapFRESHMacroeconomics and central banks

Headline Dollar at highest since April 2025, euro at 17-month low after US CPI 3.7%

US September inflation accelerated to 3.7% year-on-year versus a forecast of 3.6%. After the release, the market sharply raised expectations for another Fed rate hike, the DXY dollar index rose to 102.84, and EUR/USD fell to a 17-month low.

PropMarketCapFRESHMacroeconomics and central banks

What US inflation will show: September CPI is released on October 14 at 15:30 MSK

On Wednesday, October 14 at 15:30 MSK, the US will publish September CPI. The market expects headline inflation to accelerate to 3.6% year over year, while the monthly core reading, on the contrary, may slow to 0.2%.

PropMarketCapFRESHMacroeconomics and central banks

An hour of three events: ECB protocols, Bailey and the US labor market today from 14:30 MSK

Today, October 8, from 14:30 to 15:30 MSK, three important macro events come out in a row: the ECB protocols, a speech by Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and weekly US jobless claims. In one hour-long window, the euro, pound and dollar will be under reaction.