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The pair recovered from a drop to a monthly low around 156.00 and returned almost to 158.00 in a V-shaped move - the third consecutive rising session. The dollar is being pulled up ahead of the Fed decision, which will be released today at 21:00 Moscow time.
The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision midday, the Fed in the evening. USD/CAD is rising for a second day and has already bounced from 1.3970-1.3965, the low since September 16, climbing above 1.4000 - a new weekly high.
Today at 21:00 MSK the Federal Reserve will announce its rate decision, the forecast is 4.00%, the same as last time. At 21:30 MSK the press conference of Fed Chair Warsh will begin, and it is precisely this that usually moves the market more than the number itself.
Reserve Bank of Australia Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser said the inflation forecast looks worse than the bank's own calculations. AUD/USD rose about 0.45%, broke through the round 0.7000 level and reached 0.7017 - a two-week high and the fourth consecutive gain.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh spoke at 06:30 MSK at the IMF annual meeting in Bangkok and refused to give any hints on the rate. The dollar index DXY (the dollar's exchange rate against a basket of six currencies) moved to 101.82, down 0.22% and a 10-day low.
The dollar is declining against major currencies for the second session in a row. EUR/USD rose to 1.1230, while USD/JPY fell below 158.00 amid a pullback in US Treasury yields and a decline in the geopolitical premium.
EUR/USD lost about 0.85% on Monday and fell just above 1.1150, hitting its lowest since May 2025. Pressure on the euro intensified due to rising French government bond yields and uncertainty surrounding the country's budget.
