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On Friday, October 30, the Nasdaq Composite (the index of American technology stocks) closed at 25,437.00, down 747.73 points, or 2.86%. This is the index's worst day since June 5, and it lost more than 5% over the course of October.
As of Friday, October 30, Apple's market capitalization stood at $5.03 trillion versus $4.93 trillion for Nvidia. The reason for the leadership change is not Apple's growth but a crash in semiconductors: Nasdaq Composite -3.37%, the chipmaker sector index Philadelphia Semiconductor -8.7%.
By 11:07 Moscow time on October 30, the Nasdaq 100 futures were losing more than 2% and trading around 28,960 points. The reason: weak guidance from three of the largest technology companies at once and growing concerns over their spending on artificial intelligence.
Intel shares (the largest American processor manufacturer) fell 23.56% to $70.39 in Friday's overnight trading - that's minus $21.69 from Thursday's close of $92.07. The market punished the company not for the past quarter, but for its guidance for the coming ones.
On Friday, South Korea's main KOSPI index plummeted 5.25% to 5,626.02 points (05:20 MSK). SK hynix lost 8.65%, Samsung Electronics - 6.03%. The reason is investors' doubts about the returns on artificial intelligence investments, not poor earnings reports.
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA, the government agency that calculates GDP) published its first estimate of Q3 growth on October 29 at 15:30 Moscow time - 3.4% annualized versus the expected 3.2%. The inflation component of the same report came in noticeably softer than forecast.
Alphabet (Google's parent company) shares plunged almost 10% in after-hours trading following its quarterly report. On the morning of October 29, this dragged Nasdaq 100 futures down to 29,620 points.
In its 10-Q filing (a mandatory quarterly document for the US market regulator, the SEC), Microsoft disclosed for the first time how much its deal with OpenAI brings in: $10 billion for July-September. That is about 11% of the corporation's total revenue.
Today the Fed announces its rate decision at 21:00 MSK, and after the US session closes Microsoft and Alphabet report - the first two of the companies whose AI infrastructure spending drives Nvidia's revenue. Heading into the event, the Nasdaq Composite stood at 26,477.81 points.
Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META; the company is recognized as extremist and banned in the Russian Federation) on October 21 reported revenue above forecast, but on the same day a court in New Mexico ordered it to pay $25 billion in a data privacy case. The shares reacted with a rise of about 2%, to $708.
On Tuesday and Wednesday after the US market close, quarterly reports from Tesla, Meta, Netflix and SpaceX are released. Nasdaq values just the first three at a combined $3.6 trillion - the reaction in their shares drags the entire tech sector along with it.
The KBW Bank Index (a stock market indicator made up of shares of the largest US banks - it is used to judge whether investors believe in the financial sector) has been declining for the sixth week in a row and has lost 11% in a month and a half. There has not been such a long streak since the 2008 crisis.
The DXY dollar index (the dollar's exchange rate against a basket of major currencies) has lost over the course of a day the entire spike it got from the hot US inflation report, and by Thursday was down more than 0.50% for the day.
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said the U.S. economy remains strong and inflation is high. In her view, the Fed needs to continue tightening monetary policy, although the pace of rate hikes may be adjusted.
