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AXIOS reported that Washington is completing preparations for a possible resumption of large-scale military action against Iran and is already moving additional forces and assets into the region. A day earlier, the oil market was pricing in the exact opposite scenario.
On the evening of November 4, the oil decline deepened from 6% to -10% for the session. During the day the market was already falling after Chuck Schumer's words about ending the war with Iran, and a new downward impulse was given by the statement of the Democratic leader in the House of Representatives.
In the midterm elections on November 3, 2026, the Democrats gain control of the House of Representatives and the Senate. The key crypto market structure bill - the CLARITY Act - loses its chances of being passed in its previous form.
