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PropMarketCapFRESHCurrencies, commodities and indices

Japan's Ministry of Finance reminded about intervention: USD/JPY stalled below 160

The pair reached 159.95 - right up against the round 160 mark and the highest since September 2. Japanese Finance Ministry currency official Atsushi Mimura said markets should not forget about intervention risks, and the rate pulled back from that zone.

PropMarketCapFRESHCurrencies, commodities and indices

EUR/USD fell to 1.1066 - an 18-month low, the dollar index is also at a high

The euro against the dollar has fallen to its lowest level in a year and a half, while the DXY dollar index has risen to 103.08 - also an 18-month high. By the European session, the pair had recovered part of the decline and is holding around 1.1090.

PropMarketCapFRESHMacroeconomics and central banks

UK GDP at 10:00 MSK: market expects acceleration to 0.7%, pound at October lows

The Office for National Statistics (UK's national statistics service) publishes its preliminary estimate of third-quarter GDP. Consensus is growth of 0.7% quarter-on-quarter versus 0.5% in the second quarter, with an annual rate of 1.9% versus 1.4%. GBP/USD approaches the release around 1.3275 - the lowest since mid-October.

PropMarketCapFRESHCurrencies, commodities and indices

Gold price fell below $4,000 per ounce: a December Fed rate hike is already priced in

XAU/USD fell to $3,985 per ounce - the second decline in a row. The trigger is October US inflation: after the report, futures price a Fed rate hike at the December meeting as a done deal.

PropMarketCapFRESHCurrencies, commodities and indices

US inflation pushed the dollar index above 103 - the highest since April 2025

DXY (dollar index, the dollar's exchange rate against a basket of currencies) reached 103.048 during the Asian session on Thursday - for the first time since early April 2025. In the previous session it gained 0.7% after US inflation came in above forecast.

PropMarketCapCurrencies, commodities and indices

USD/JPY reached 159.13 - the highest since September 2, the dollar index holds near 102.50

The yen weakens for the second day in a row after October US inflation data. The market has almost fully priced in a Fed rate hike in December, and less than a figure remains to the 160 level, near which Tokyo has already entered the market with interventions.

PropMarketCapCurrencies, commodities and indices

After hot US inflation, silver price gained 2.73% in a day and approached $53

On Wednesday, November 11, by 11:58 Moscow time, silver (XAG/USD) was worth $52.92 per troy ounce versus $51.52 at Tuesday's close. In the European session, the metal rose almost 3%, to around $53.00.

PropMarketCapCurrencies, commodities and indices

Nasdaq 100 futures gained 1.45% and moved to 28,230

On the morning of November 11, US index futures reversed upward: the market received a signal of de-escalation around Iran and strong earnings in the artificial intelligence sector. A day earlier, the same indices closed lower after inflation data.

PropMarketCapCurrencies, commodities and indices

Gold price rebounded to $4050 after a nearly 3% drop: a Fed rate hike is expected in December

On Tuesday, spot gold plunged almost 3%, to $4017.21 per ounce, after US inflation for October accelerated more than forecast. By 06:03 Moscow time on Wednesday, the metal had recovered part of the decline - $4043.62 per ounce, up 0.3%.

PropMarketCapMacroeconomics and central banks

10-year Treasury yield hits 5% for the first time since 2006: US inflation above forecast

October inflation in the US came in above forecast, and the government bond market responded with a sell-off. The DXY dollar index stands at 102.22 - a high since October 28, and the market considers a Fed rate hike on December 9 almost a done deal: 91.9% according to CME FedWatch versus 84% the day before.

PropMarketCapCrypto market

BTC broke below $73,000 - a 10-week low, crypto market slumped after the US inflation report

Bitcoin fell to $72,934 on Coinbase and Kraken: there prices went below $73,000 for the first time in ten weeks. The trigger was the US consumer price report for October - it came in above forecast, and the market increased its bet on a Fed rate hike in December.

PropMarketCapMacroeconomics and central banks

The Fed may need to keep raising rates this winter - Dallas's Logan

Lorie Logan, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, said on November 10 that the Fed may have to raise rates further this winter. For the past few months, the market had been living with the opposite picture - talk of easing.

PropMarketCapMacroeconomics and central banks

EUR/USD fell below 1.1200: the Fed rate forecast for December 9 shifted toward a hike

US October prices rose faster than expected, and the market almost unanimously bet on a Fed rate hike on December 9. The euro lost 0.28% over the day and is trading around 1.1190.

PropMarketCapMacroeconomics and central banks

$200 million in long positions liquidated in 5 minutes: US inflation in October came in above forecast

US consumer prices rose 0.4% month-over-month in October versus the expected 0.23-0.3%. Immediately after the release at 16:30 MSK, exchanges forcibly closed roughly $200 million in long positions in crypto; Bitcoin and gold moved lower.

PropMarketCapCurrencies, commodities and indices

Ahead of US inflation data, the gold price fell more than 1%: from $4,148 to $4,075

On Tuesday, gold gave back almost all of the previous day's gains - traders took profits, and a Fed official's comments about a possible rate hike in December added pressure.

PropMarketCapCrypto market

Fed rate hike probability for December soared to 96.3% - BTC moved to $74,000

After a speech by Christopher Waller, a member of the Fed Board of Governors, bets on a December hike jumped from 76.3% to 96.3% within a few hours. Bitcoin fell 1.3% to $74,080, while gold and stocks moved down along with it.

PropMarketCapMacroeconomics and central banks

A 0.5 pp step in December with core CPI at 0.3% - Waller gave this forecast for the Fed rate

Fed Governor Christopher Waller said on Tuesday, November 10, during the European session: if US core inflation for October comes in around 0.3% month-over-month or higher, December will require a rate hike of a full half percentage point. The October CPI report itself is released the same day.

PropMarketCapMacroeconomics and central banks

No annual inflation this time: US CPI will be released today with only a monthly figure

The US consumer price report is published today at 16:30 Moscow time, but it will not include a year-on-year change. The reason is the US government shutdown a year earlier, because of which some of the data was simply not collected. This was reported by CNBC.

PropMarketCapMacroeconomics and central banks

On Tuesday at 16:30 MSK, US inflation: 3.9% expected, chances of a Fed rate hike - 80.5%

This week, three data blocks come out for the US, and both crypto and tech stocks are already sliding ahead of them: consumer inflation on Tuesday, earnings from AI equipment makers on Thursday, and producer prices on Friday. BTC is trading around $74,322, down 1.85% over the day.

PropMarketCapMacroeconomics and central banks

Goolsbee ahead of US inflation data: service prices are accelerating not only because of tariffs

Austin Goolsbee, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, said on Monday, November 9, that service price growth has been accelerating for several months. A day before the US inflation data, this is the most inconvenient argument for those expecting a rapid rate cut.

PropMarketCapCurrencies, commodities and indices

Dollar Index Plunges Below 102.00: DXY Loses 0.4% on Iran Hopes

On Monday, November 9, the dollar was the weakest currency among the majors. DXY (the dollar index against a basket of currencies of the US's main trading partners) lost almost 0.4% and dipped to session lows below 102.00.

PropMarketCapMacroeconomics and central banks

US inflation for October: on November 10 at 16:30 MSK, 0.2% expected after 0.6%

On Tuesday, the US consumer price report for October is released. The FactSet consensus is plus 0.2% for the month versus 0.6% in September, when annual price growth accelerated to 3.7%, the highest since May.

PropMarketCapRegulation

US refused to tighten cryptocurrency regulation: there will be no surveillance of transfers from $250

FinCEN (the financial intelligence service under the US Treasury) and the Federal Reserve Board of Governors officially withdrew on November 6 the draft of the so-called Travel Rule - a norm that would have required collecting sender data for any crypto transfer from $250. The draft had been in limbo for more than five years.

PropMarketCapCrypto market

BTC fell below $75,000 — the crypto market did not follow the tech sector's rebound

Bitcoin dropped to $74,762 — its lowest since August 21. The trigger was a strong US labor market report: US stocks rebounded on it, but crypto did not follow. We wrote about the drop to $75,700 on the election results on November 4; since then the price has not fallen lower.