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Intel said the global personal computer market will shrink by about 12% in 2026 and another 10% in 2027. On Friday, October 30, the entire semiconductor sector and computer makers were sold off.
In its 10-Q report (a mandatory quarterly report public companies file with the SEC, the US market regulator), Microsoft for the first time named the exact amount of money OpenAI brings in: $10.0B for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. That is about 11% of the company's total quarterly revenue.
HTX (a crypto exchange formerly known as Huobi) has agreed to stop attracting clients from the UK. The commitments were formalized through the High Court of London and are valid until October 21, 2031.
Bitcoin's crash amid reports of a Binance hack wiped out the positions of 254,258 traders. Almost 86% of the total volume was long positions, i.e., bets on growth.
On Friday the euro broke below the March 2025 levels against the British pound: the EUR/GBP pair touched 0.8336, a 19-month low. Strong eurozone economic data failed to convince the market, while the pound is rising on expectations that the Bank of England will raise rates as early as next week.
After the hack of Binance hot wallets, options traders priced in the strongest Bitcoin swings since August, and the net outflow of coins from the exchange set a yearly record: 22,159 BTC, about $1.7 billion, on October 29 alone.
The Canadian dollar is strengthening for the third session in a row: the USD/CAD pair headed toward 1.3968 on Friday and traded below 1.3960 - the lowest level in six weeks. Over three weeks, the pair has lost more than 2%.
Istat (Italy's national statistics agency) published its preliminary October inflation estimate on October 30 at 13:01 MSK: +5.4% year-on-year versus the expected +4.6% and +4.2% a month earlier. The miss versus consensus was almost a full percentage point - for a eurozone country, that is a lot.
At 13:00 Moscow time on October 30, the preliminary estimate of Eurozone GDP for the third quarter of 2026 was released. The bloc's economy grew 0.4% quarter-on-quarter against a forecast of +0.2% - that is, twice as strong as the market expected.
Intel shares (the largest American processor manufacturer) fell 23.56% to $70.39 in Friday's overnight trading - that's minus $21.69 from Thursday's close of $92.07. The market punished the company not for the past quarter, but for its guidance for the coming ones.
The second-largest economy in the eurozone contracted: the preliminary GDP estimate (total volume of goods and services produced) for July-September showed -0.1% quarter-on-quarter against a consensus of +0.1%. The data was released on October 30 at 09:30 Moscow time.
Strategy (Michael Saylor's company, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin) reported third-quarter 2026 results with net income of $19.53 billion versus $2.79 billion a year earlier. Almost all of it is paper: it is a revaluation of crypto reserves, not business income.
Analytics firm TRM Labs linked the Binance hack "with high confidence" to the TraderTraitor group - the FBI's name for North Korean state hackers, who are classified as part of the Lazarus Group. This is four times more than the $1.5 billion stolen from Bybit in February 2025.
The December Brent futures contract added $1.20 (+1.04%) on Friday and reached $116.08 per barrel after reports of tankers being blown up near the Strait of Hormuz. In October, oil rose by almost 11% - the fourth consecutive month of gains.
The Bank of Japan (BoJ, the country's central bank) will announce its rate decision on Friday, October 30. Almost no one expects a change - the rate is expected to stay at 1.25%. All the interest lies elsewhere: what the regulator will say about December, where the market sees a hike with a probability of about 80%.
September PCE (personal consumption expenditures index, the Fed's key inflation gauge) accelerated to 3.6% year-on-year, while the US economy grew 3.4% in the third quarter - stronger than forecast. Buyers picked up the dollar, and the loonie gave up ground.
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA, the government agency that calculates GDP) published its first estimate of Q3 growth on October 29 at 15:30 Moscow time - 3.4% annualized versus the expected 3.2%. The inflation component of the same report came in noticeably softer than forecast.
The European Central Bank on 29 October at 16:15 MSK kept its key rate at 2.65% - exactly as the market expected and as at the previous meeting. No changes to any of the three rates.
On October 30 at 11:00 Moscow time, monthly options on BTC worth $10.86 billion and on ETH worth $783 million expire on the Deribit exchange. After BTC fell below $80,000, downside protection there costs noticeably more than bets on growth.
European countries will sell 42 million barrels of oil from strategic reserves over three months. France announced this, Bloomberg reports.
The UK regulator FCA has obtained court undertakings from the HTX exchange (formerly Huobi): the company will not knowingly advertise crypto services to Britons in circumvention of the law. For users from the United Kingdom, the exchange is effectively closed.
On October 28, US spot Bitcoin ETFs (exchange-traded funds through which Bitcoin is bought like a regular stock) raised $137.3M, while Ethereum and Solana funds lost money again. Across the three markets combined, the result was +$110.2M.
In its 10-Q filing (a mandatory quarterly document for the US market regulator, the SEC), Microsoft disclosed for the first time how much its deal with OpenAI brings in: $10 billion for July-September. That is about 11% of the corporation's total revenue.
Brent futures (the North Sea benchmark crude) fell about 1% on Thursday to $114.20 a barrel, while WTI (the U.S. benchmark) dropped 1.4% to $101.40. The market is simultaneously pricing in two scenarios from Washington: an offer of talks to Iran and preparations for a strike after the November 3 election.
