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Japan's Finance Ministry ready for 'decisive steps': USD/JPY around 157.70

Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said on Tuesday, October 27, that the government is ready for decisive action in the currency market. This is a direct hint at intervention - selling dollars from reserves to support the yen.

Week of three rates: Fed meeting on October 28, then ECB and Bank of Japan

From October 28 to 30, four central banks issue rate decisions, and on the 29th US GDP and PCE come out at the same time. The market has already priced in rates staying unchanged, so it will be the wording, not the numbers themselves, that moves the instruments.

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Trump postponed strike on Iran: Brent oil price loses 1.8%

By 05:50 Moscow time on Monday, Brent is at $114.60 per barrel versus Friday's close of $116.72 - the highest since April. The market has begun giving back part of the war premium, but oil is still twice as expensive as in February.

Rebound from a three-month low: gold price back above $4,000

Spot gold gained 0.4% to $4,009.87 per ounce by 06:42 Moscow time on Monday. This is a rebound after the worst week since June: over the week the metal lost 4% and closed below the round $4,000 mark for the first time since mid-July.

94 out of 100 economists expect a pause at the Fed meeting on Wednesday, but all 100 expect a hike in December

On October 28 at 21:00 Moscow time, the Fed will announce its rate decision, and the market expects almost no move: the probability of a hike fell from 73% to 9.4%. The main focus will be the wording of the statement and the press conference at 21:30 Moscow time.

US urgently evacuates people from the Middle East: crypto market slumps, Bitcoin falls below $80,000

On Saturday, October 24, BTC lost 2.2% in a day and dropped to $79,700 - its weakest level in more than a month. The reason is not market-related: Washington is urgently evacuating embassy and military base personnel from the region.

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Cyberattack on GMO: 26,739 servers at risk, OANDA Japan pauses withdrawals

GMO Internet's cloud hosting, where traders keep MetaTrader terminals and trading robots, was hacked. Broker OANDA Securities Japan postponed client payouts on October 22 to check applications for fraudulent transfers.

SkyAI sold its entire Solana reserve: 2M SOL to zero in a month

SkyAI (traded on Nasdaq, formerly called Sharps Technology) completely sold off its treasury reserve of Solana - more than 2M SOL at an average price of $107.51 per coin. By October 16, it had $223.8M in cash and zero cryptocurrency.

Tesla: profit above forecast, revenue slightly below expectations

Tesla published its third-quarter report on October 21 at 23:04 Moscow time. Adjusted profit came in better than forecast - 48 cents per share versus the expected 44, while total revenue fell slightly short: $28.05 billion versus the forecast of $28.13 billion.

BTC broke through $84,000 and gave back more than $2,000 in six hours

Overnight on October 21, Bitcoin broke through the $84,000 ceiling for the first time in a week and reached $84,726, but by the morning of October 22 it had slid to $82,600. Crypto reversed course following futures on US tech indices.

Meta reports today: indices and the dollar await the AI spending plan

Meta publishes its third-quarter report today, October 21. The market is looking not so much at profit as at capital expenditures (money for data centers, servers and AI chips): the company's annual guidance is $130-145 billion, and sentiment across the entire technology sector depends on it.

XRP reserves on crypto exchanges hit a yearly high: 6 billion tokens flowed in over 30 days

Over 30 days through October 19, 6.05 billion XRP were deposited to exchanges - the most since March. Total exchange reserves rose to 11.81 billion tokens, the 99th percentile for the year.

Brent crude hit a 6-month high — the price is above any level since April

On the morning of October 20, Brent crude (the North Sea benchmark used to price most of the world's supply) updated its six-month high — the trading tape recorded the level at 10:26 Moscow time.

UK unemployment fell to 4.7% - the pound hit a weekly high

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that unemployment fell to 4.7% in the three months to August, versus 4.9% in the previous quarter. This is the lowest in more than a year, and the market had expected the previous level to be maintained.

Visa and Mesh enable crypto and stablecoin payments at 175 million merchant locations

Payment system Visa has agreed on a partnership with crypto platform Mesh: payments can be made with cryptocurrencies and stablecoins at more than 175 million locations worldwide - without a separate card and without prior conversion.

Tesla, Meta, Netflix and SpaceX reports: $3.6 trillion in market cap at stake

On Tuesday and Wednesday after the US market close, quarterly reports from Tesla, Meta, Netflix and SpaceX are released. Nasdaq values just the first three at a combined $3.6 trillion - the reaction in their shares drags the entire tech sector along with it.

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Import prices rose 1.1% in a month - the worst week for US inflation in a year

On October 16 at 15:30 MSK, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (US Bureau of Labor Statistics) published the import price index for September: +1.1% versus August against the expected +0.8%. In annual terms, growth accelerated to 8.1% from 7.0% a month earlier.

Washington pressures Tokyo: the dollar-yen rate must fall, Japan is no longer in deflation

On October 16, the U.S. Treasury publicly stated that Japan is no longer living in deflation, which means the yen exchange rate must reflect this. This is a repeated call for Tokyo to strengthen the JPY against the USD.

Dollar slumped: Warsh gave no hints on the Fed rate, DXY at a 10-day low

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh spoke at 06:30 MSK at the IMF annual meeting in Bangkok and refused to give any hints on the rate. The dollar index DXY (the dollar's exchange rate against a basket of six currencies) moved to 101.82, down 0.22% and a 10-day low.