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On October 28, Tehran publicly rejected the draft agreement passed by Qatari mediators and stated that the nuclear program is not a subject for discussion at all. Oil reacted with a rise: WTI gained more than 1% and traded around $100.80.
Qatari mediators handed Tehran a new draft agreement with the US on Sunday, October 25. Iran is studying the document and has promised an answer by the end of the week — and the market is already pricing in every headline on the subject, although there is no talk of the deal itself yet.
On Monday, October 26, the US stock market staged a powerful rebound after the sharp sell-off of the previous week. Two stories at once served as the trigger: Anthropic's stock market debut and the talks in Tehran.
Payments giant Visa is discussing the acquisition of one of the world's largest crypto custodians, Fireblocks. The deal amount is being discussed at around $2.5 billion, Axios reports.
Bitcoin recovered to $82,000 after Donald Trump's statement that the US will not strike Iran until November 3. Amid easing geopolitical risks, oil reversed downward, and the crypto market partially recouped the overnight decline.
WTI recovered intraday from the morning decline from around $88.00 and rose to nearly $91.50. The main driver was China's temporary suspension of oil product exports during the national holidays.
US President Donald Trump said that in the absence of an acceptable agreement, Washington may resume or intensify strikes on Iran after the midterm elections. The conflict has been ongoing for about seven months, and the situation around the Strait of Hormuz remains one of the key risks for the oil market.
EUR/USD falls for the fourth day in a row and has reached 1.1265, the lowest level since May 2025. Over four weeks, the euro has lost about 2.8% against the dollar amid a strong dollar, rising US yields and French debt risks.
US crude WTI (the US benchmark grade) is trading around $93.05 in early Asian hours on Monday. The push came from US President Donald Trump's rejection of Iran's proposal to open the Strait of Hormuz - a key maritime route for oil exports from the Persian Gulf.
