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PropMarketCapFRESHMacroeconomics and central banks

Warsh: giving the market advance forecasts on the Fed rate is the wrong practice

On the evening of October 28, from 21:52 to 22:05 Moscow time, Warsh answered questions on Fed policy. Main statement: he does not believe in preliminary signals to the market about future regulator decisions.

PropMarketCapFRESHMacroeconomics and central banks

Fed redraws rate meeting calendar: starting autumn 2027, some meetings - no decision

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said on October 28 at 21:36 MSK that the regulator is changing the FOMC meeting schedule (the Fed committee that sets the US key rate) starting next autumn. The total number of meetings will remain the same - 8 per year - but not every one of them will end with a rate decision.

PropMarketCapFRESHMacroeconomics and central banks

The rate after the Fed meeting remained at 3.75-4%, but two committee members voted for a hike

The decision was made by a vote of 10 to 2: Governor Lisa Cook and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack insisted on an immediate 0.25 percentage point increase. Six weeks earlier, the committee had made the same decision unanimously.

PropMarketCapFRESHCurrencies, commodities and indices

US bank stocks fall for six straight weeks - worst streak since 2008

The KBW Bank Index (a stock market indicator made up of shares of the largest US banks - it is used to judge whether investors believe in the financial sector) has been declining for the sixth week in a row and has lost 11% in a month and a half. There has not been such a long streak since the 2008 crisis.

PropMarketCapFRESHMacroeconomics and central banks

UK GDP turned positive instead of falling: GBP/USD rose to 1.3242

The UK economy grew by 0.1% month-on-month in August, against a forecast of a 0.1% decline. After the data release, the pound strengthened, and GBP/USD rose by about 0.37%, to 1.3242.

PropMarketCapFRESHMacroeconomics and central banks

ECB Governing Council member Wunsch hinted at a rate hike at the next meeting

Pierre Wunsch, Governor of the National Bank of Belgium and member of the ECB Governing Council, said that at the next meeting the regulator will most likely raise the rate. For the market, this is an important signal, since expectations of a tighter policy directly affect the euro and asset yields in the eurozone.

PropMarketCapFRESHMacroeconomics and central banks

Cleveland Fed President Hammack: inflation is high, the Fed rate should be higher

Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said the U.S. economy remains strong and inflation is high. In her view, the Fed needs to continue tightening monetary policy, although the pace of rate hikes may be adjusted.

PropMarketCapFRESHMacroeconomics and central banks

Logan of the Fed: the rate needs to be raised by at least another 50 basis points

Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Lori Logan said the Fed rate needs to be raised by at least another 50 basis points so that monetary policy becomes moderately restrictive and helps bring inflation back to the 2% target.

PropMarketCapFRESHInstruments

Bitcoin dropped below $84,000 after a 13% gain in four days

Bitcoin pulled back from an eight-month high of $87,381 to $83,900. Over the past day, the market faced $545 million in liquidations, most of which were long positions

Hash HedgeHOTPromos

Cashback up to 15% and drawdown protection

Hash Hedge adds daily drawdown protection and increases cashback up to 15% on the Fed decision day

Source: Hash Hedge4 views