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The Bank of Japan (BoJ, the country's central bank) will announce its rate decision on Friday, October 30. Almost no one expects a change - the rate is expected to stay at 1.25%. All the interest lies elsewhere: what the regulator will say about December, where the market sees a hike with a probability of about 80%.
On the evening of October 29, the largest prediction platform Polymarket switched the exchange to cancel-only mode. Through a compromised third-party contractor, approximately $2.65 million drained from user accounts in a matter of minutes.
On October 29, XAU/USD fell more than 1% - from the day's high of $4,069 to $4,019. Strong US economic data interrupted gold's three-day winning streak and reinforced the market's bet that the Fed will raise rates in December.
Long-term holders (those who haven't moved coins for more than 155 days) hold roughly 4M BTC bought in the $85,000-$118,000 range, mostly in 2025. At the current price that's about $326 billion, and more than half of these coins are at a loss.
September PCE (personal consumption expenditures index, the Fed's key inflation gauge) accelerated to 3.6% year-on-year, while the US economy grew 3.4% in the third quarter - stronger than forecast. Buyers picked up the dollar, and the loonie gave up ground.
On October 29, the euro fell to 1.1104 - its weakest level since May 2025. The reason is twofold: the ECB left rates unchanged, while US inflation accelerated, and the market began seriously expecting not a cut but a Fed rate hike in December.
On October 29, the KuCoin crypto exchange announced the termination of services for users from Russia and Belarus. The restrictions apply to all products and services of the platform and take effect immediately, with no transition period.
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA, the government agency that calculates GDP) published its first estimate of Q3 growth on October 29 at 15:30 Moscow time - 3.4% annualized versus the expected 3.2%. The inflation component of the same report came in noticeably softer than forecast.
At the market open on Thursday, Alphabet (Google's parent company) shares plunged 13.18% to $279.47 - the strongest one-day drop in the company's history. About $522 billion was wiped off its market capitalization, which fell to $3.44 trillion.
Prop firm SpiceProp has launched a Halloween promotion: a single promo code gives three bonuses at once on any challenge, and a $300,000 funded account will additionally be raffled among buyers.
The European Central Bank on 29 October at 16:15 MSK kept its key rate at 2.65% - exactly as the market expected and as at the previous meeting. No changes to any of the three rates.
On October 30 at 11:00 Moscow time, monthly options on BTC worth $10.86 billion and on ETH worth $783 million expire on the Deribit exchange. After BTC fell below $80,000, downside protection there costs noticeably more than bets on growth.
Indonesia's largest crypto exchange Indodax has suspended all deposit and withdrawal operations. The reason is a sharp increase in the number of cyberattacks on the platform. The announcement was made on October 29 at around 15:15-15:25 Moscow time.
On Thursday, October 29, XAG/USD broke below the lower boundary of the yearly range at $52.60 and fell to $52.34 — the lowest level since November 2025. Pressure comes from the prospect of another Fed rate hike in December.
European countries will sell 42 million barrels of oil from strategic reserves over three months. France announced this, Bloomberg reports.
The US published the PCE index for September. The monthly price increase came in below expectations, while annual inflation accelerated: headline to 3.6%, core to 3.1%.
Reuters reported on October 28 that Bloomberg, Susquehanna International Group and Jump Trading have subscribed to the Truth API — a paid data feed from Trump Media that delivers Donald Trump's posts roughly 50 milliseconds faster than the social network's regular notifications. The subscription costs between $60,000 and $100,000 a month.
Gold (XAU/USD) slipped to $4,036 on Thursday, losing 0.76% for the day and ending a three-day winning streak. The reason is the outcome of the Fed meeting: the rate was left untouched, but the option of a hike in December remained on the table, and key data on this issue is released today.
The UK regulator FCA has obtained court undertakings from the HTX exchange (formerly Huobi): the company will not knowingly advertise crypto services to Britons in circumvention of the law. For users from the United Kingdom, the exchange is effectively closed.
On October 28, US spot Bitcoin ETFs (exchange-traded funds through which Bitcoin is bought like a regular stock) raised $137.3M, while Ethereum and Solana funds lost money again. Across the three markets combined, the result was +$110.2M.
Exchange holding ICE (Intercontinental Exchange, owner of the New York Stock Exchange) will give access to perpetual futures trading in the US, and they will be settled through the crypto platform Hyperliquid. The plans were reported on October 29.
BTC has lost almost 2% and is holding around $80,150, briefly dipping below $80,000. For Strategy (Michael Saylor's company, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin), this means its coins are worth only 6% more than it paid for them.
On October 28, Tether (the issuer of USDT, the largest stablecoin - a coin with an exchange rate pegged to the dollar) blacklisted at least 33 addresses on the TRON network. The owners can no longer move a single coin from them.
Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank, has told staff that she plans to leave her post on February 7. This concerns the person who sets the rate for the entire eurozone, that is, directly influences the EUR/USD exchange rate.
