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On October 29, the euro fell to 1.1104 - its weakest level since May 2025. The reason is twofold: the ECB left rates unchanged, while US inflation accelerated, and the market began seriously expecting not a cut but a Fed rate hike in December.
The European Central Bank on 29 October at 16:15 MSK kept its key rate at 2.65% - exactly as the market expected and as at the previous meeting. No changes to any of the three rates.
On Thursday, October 29, XAG/USD broke below the lower boundary of the yearly range at $52.60 and fell to $52.34 — the lowest level since November 2025. Pressure comes from the prospect of another Fed rate hike in December.
On the evening of October 28, from 21:52 to 22:05 Moscow time, Warsh answered questions on Fed policy. Main statement: he does not believe in preliminary signals to the market about future regulator decisions.
XAU/USD is fluctuating around $4,000 on Tuesday and has already dipped below it, despite easing US rate expectations. Trading is taking place near $4,012, slightly above last week's three-month low of $3,975.
From October 28 to 30, four central banks issue rate decisions, and on the 29th US GDP and PCE come out at the same time. The market has already priced in rates staying unchanged, so it will be the wording, not the numbers themselves, that moves the instruments.
On Saturday, Bitcoin on most exchanges dropped to $79,100 - the lowest level in five weeks. By Sunday morning, the price had recovered from the drop and is holding just above $80,000, reaching a high of $80,900.
In the early hours of Friday, gold (XAU/USD) fell to $3,986 - below $4,000 for the first time since July. Before that, on Thursday, the metal lost 2.81% over the session. By midday the price had rebounded to $4,029, but gold is closing the week down more than 3%.
US trading on October 22 opened with a decline, and by 17:27 Moscow time the Nasdaq 100 index had fallen by about 2%. The day before, the same index closed almost unchanged, and after the market close it was up about 1% on futures - the reversal was sharp.
Gold slipped to $4,135 per ounce - the third declining session in a row. Two factors are weighing: the yield on 10-year US Treasuries has returned above 5.1%, and oil has risen almost 15% in two weeks.
The KBW Bank Index (a stock market indicator made up of shares of the largest US banks - it is used to judge whether investors believe in the financial sector) has been declining for the sixth week in a row and has lost 11% in a month and a half. There has not been such a long streak since the 2008 crisis.
On October 16, silver (XAG/USD) closed the day down 0.77% at $56.86 per ounce. From $60.45 on October 12, the metal has lost $3.59, that is, about 6% in a week.
Over the past 24 hours, leveraged positions worth $951.4 million were liquidated on the crypto market, with $876.3 million coming from longs. Bitcoin dropped to $80,764, while Ethereum lost more than 6%.
On October 12, gold lost 1.49% and dropped from $4,217 to $4,163 per ounce. Pressure came from rising oil, a stronger dollar, and high US bond yields.
The DXY dollar index broke through 102.50 and reached its highest level since April 2025. Since the September low, the index has gained about 4% and is heading for a fourth consecutive rising week amid demand for safe-haven assets and a new wave of geopolitical tensions.
In September, Canada lost 68.3 thousand jobs, while employment growth was expected at 7 thousand. Unemployment rose to 6.5%, and USD/CAD climbed to 1.4276 amid a sharp drop in Canadian bond yields.
On October 8, the Nasdaq 100 lost more than 300 points in about 30 minutes after reports that OpenAI's annual revenue run rate was closer to $50 billion rather than the previously discussed $70 billion. High bond yields and oil above $100 added to the pressure.
On October 8, WTI oil rose to $90.87 and at one point approached $91.00, gaining about 3% in a day. The rise was supported by new attacks on facilities in Saudi Arabia, risks to shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, and a decline in US oil inventories.
The yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds has risen to 5.70%, the highest level since 2002. Rising yields increase pressure on gold, raise borrowing costs and make stocks less attractive relative to government debt.
On Tuesday, October 6, XAU/USD declined to $4,100, the lowest level in about two months. Gold has lost about 12% from its recent peak near $4,696, and the main pressure factor remains the strong dollar and high US bond yields.
US President Donald Trump said that in the absence of an acceptable agreement, Washington may resume or intensify strikes on Iran after the midterm elections. The conflict has been ongoing for about seven months, and the situation around the Strait of Hormuz remains one of the key risks for the oil market.
Bitcoin pulled back from an eight-month high of $87,381 to $83,900. Over the past day, the market faced $545 million in liquidations, most of which were long positions
