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Spot gold on Friday lost the psychological mark of $4,000 per ounce and traded at $3,997.25 (-0.58% for the day). Silver fell almost 2%, to $51.147 - the lowest since November 2025. For gold, this is the second consecutive day of decline and about -3.5% for the month.
On Thursday, October 29, XAG/USD broke below the lower boundary of the yearly range at $52.60 and fell to $52.34 — the lowest level since November 2025. Pressure comes from the prospect of another Fed rate hike in December.
A day of double macro statistics: first the US data block at 15:30, then the ECB rate decision at 16:15 and the press conference at 16:45. In the evening, reports from Amazon, Intel and Coinbase are added.
Qatari mediators handed Tehran a new draft agreement with the US on Sunday, October 25. Iran is studying the document and has promised an answer by the end of the week — and the market is already pricing in every headline on the subject, although there is no talk of the deal itself yet.
Spot gold gained 0.4% to $4,009.87 per ounce by 06:42 Moscow time on Monday. This is a rebound after the worst week since June: over the week the metal lost 4% and closed below the round $4,000 mark for the first time since mid-July.
Statistics Canada reported for September: Canadian industry selling prices rose 2.0% from August versus 1.3% a month earlier. The data were released on October 22 at 15:33 Moscow time - six days before the Bank of Canada meeting.
On October 16, silver (XAG/USD) closed the day down 0.77% at $56.86 per ounce. From $60.45 on October 12, the metal has lost $3.59, that is, about 6% in a week.
XAU/USD rose to $4,165 at the start of the Asian session on Friday, October 16, ending a three-day losing streak. The trigger was a weaker dollar and a sharp drop in US Treasury yields
Global exchange-traded funds backed by physical gold attracted $30.7 billion in the third quarter of 2026. This is the largest quarterly inflow in the entire history of observations, and metal holdings in the funds hit an all-time high.
On October 12, gold lost 1.49% and dropped from $4,217 to $4,163 per ounce. Pressure came from rising oil, a stronger dollar, and high US bond yields.
Gold is recovering for the second day in a row after falling to $4,066, a two-month low. By the morning of October 9, XAU/USD had risen to the $4,140-4,150 area, adding about 2% from the weekly low.
Gold first rose to $4,220 after soft US inflation data, but then completely erased its gains and fell to $4,139-4,150. Pressure was intensified by rising US Treasury yields, a strong dollar and more hawkish rate expectations
