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The international rating agency Fitch Ratings has changed its outlook on France's credit rating from 'stable' to 'negative'. The decision was unscheduled: agencies usually publish revisions according to a pre-announced calendar.
On Friday, October 30, XAU/USD lost more than 3% over the session and plunged to $3,891 — the lowest level since October 28, 2025. Just the day before, on October 29, the metal held around $4,000.
The Canadian dollar is strengthening for the third session in a row: the USD/CAD pair headed toward 1.3968 on Friday and traded below 1.3960 - the lowest level in six weeks. Over three weeks, the pair has lost more than 2%.
Spot gold on Friday lost the psychological mark of $4,000 per ounce and traded at $3,997.25 (-0.58% for the day). Silver fell almost 2%, to $51.147 - the lowest since November 2025. For gold, this is the second consecutive day of decline and about -3.5% for the month.
Galaxy Research analyzed the filings of major managers: nine hedge funds and banks cut their positions in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs by 68,000 BTC - about $5.4 billion. The reason is not a bet against the market, but that the arbitrage scheme has almost stopped generating income.
On 28 October, UK Chancellor Healey presented the annual budget to Parliament. The OBR (Office for Budget Responsibility, an independent state body that produces the forecasts underpinning the budget) downgraded its economic growth estimates, and the free fiscal buffer shrank from £23.6bn in March to £15bn.
On October 28, The Depository Trust Company (DTC) - the main US depository, through which clearing of trades on NASDAQ passes - activated the DTCC Tokenization Service. Traditional stocks and bonds can now be converted into tokens on a blockchain and sent to digital wallets while retaining the same ownership rights.
The US Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC, the regulator of national banks) has granted Ripple final approval to launch Ripple National Trust Bank. Now the $2.5 billion in RLUSD stablecoin reserves will be managed under federal oversight.
On Thursday, October 22, the Nasdaq Composite closed at 26,008.86 - down 694 points, or 2.6%. The main blow fell on chipmakers: the Philadelphia Semiconductor sector index plunged 6.72%.
On Thursday, October 22, XAU/USD lost more than 2% and dropped to $4,047, and in the Asian session on October 23 it reached **$3,986.74** - the lowest level in three months. The $4,066.64-$4,227.90 corridor, in which the metal had traded for three weeks since the start of October, was broken to the downside.
On Thursday Brent rose 2.6% to $111.66 per barrel - a five-month high, and in the evening Moscow time quotes went above $113. The rally was driven by Houthi attacks on Saudi infrastructure and expectations of a new military escalation around Iran.
September consumer price data was released at 02:30 Moscow time and came in above August levels across all measures. The yen strengthened, and the market is once again betting on a Bank of Japan rate hike in December.
The EUR/USD pair on Thursday, October 22, fell below 1.1200 at the opening of the American session. In the morning, buyers tried to consolidate above 1.1250, but they were knocked out of there: the euro was hit simultaneously by the French debt market and rising oil prices.
The DXY dollar index (the dollar's exchange rate against a basket of major currencies) has fallen to a three-week low of around 101.50. Over the week, the dollar lost between 0.53% and 0.76% against each of the major currencies.
Overnight into Thursday, XAU/USD lost about 1% and moved to $4,095 - a one-week low. The reason is unusual: the market expects not a cut but a Fed rate hike in December, and money is leaving the metal that pays no interest.
France has become Europe's main problem: the yield on its 10-year government bonds (OATs) broke through 5%, and the spread with German paper reached 158-160 basis points - the widest since 2011, that is, since the height of the eurozone debt crisis.
XAU/USD touched a fresh weekly low: on Tuesday gold closed at $4,122 (-0.43%), and in the Asian session on Wednesday it traded around $4,115 (-0.2%). This is the fourth consecutive day of decline, all because the market expects the Fed to raise rates rather than cut them.
Today at 09:00 Moscow time, the UK reports its September consumer price index. Consensus is +3.4% year-on-year vs 3.1% in August. If the figure is confirmed, this will be the third consecutive month of acceleration.
Gold slipped to $4,135 per ounce - the third declining session in a row. Two factors are weighing: the yield on 10-year US Treasuries has returned above 5.1%, and oil has risen almost 15% in two weeks.
XAU/USD rose to $4,165 at the start of the Asian session on Friday, October 16, ending a three-day losing streak. The trigger was a weaker dollar and a sharp drop in US Treasury yields
The DXY dollar index (the dollar's exchange rate against a basket of major currencies) has lost over the course of a day the entire spike it got from the hot US inflation report, and by Thursday was down more than 0.50% for the day.
US September inflation came in above forecast: 3.7% versus expected 3.6%. Today, October 15, the market will receive three more important data blocks - PPI, retail sales and weekly jobless claims.
The UK economy grew by 0.1% month-on-month in August, against a forecast of a 0.1% decline. After the data release, the pound strengthened, and GBP/USD rose by about 0.37%, to 1.3242.
Gold declined for three consecutive days after higher-than-expected US inflation was released and dropped to $4,065 per ounce. On the morning of October 15, XAU/USD recovered part of the decline and returned above $4,150 amid a pullback in the dollar and bond yields.
