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The prop company has rewritten three rules in its evaluation programs: the earnings limit around the release of macroeconomic statistics has tripled, the minimum trade holding time has been halved, and the ban on copying trades has been lifted entirely. The changes were announced on November 11.
US October prices rose faster than expected, and the market almost unanimously bet on a Fed rate hike on December 9. The euro lost 0.28% over the day and is trading around 1.1190.
On Tuesday, gold gave back almost all of the previous day's gains - traders took profits, and a Fed official's comments about a possible rate hike in December added pressure.
Fed Governor Christopher Waller said on Tuesday, November 10, during the European session: if US core inflation for October comes in around 0.3% month-over-month or higher, December will require a rate hike of a full half percentage point. The October CPI report itself is released the same day.
On Tuesday, the US consumer price report for October is released. The FactSet consensus is plus 0.2% for the month versus 0.6% in September, when annual price growth accelerated to 3.7%, the highest since May.
On November 4, the Chinese MFA reported that China is discussing with Tehran and Riyadh the opening of the Strait of Hormuz - the narrow outlet from the Persian Gulf through which seaborne oil exports from the region's largest producers pass.
The US Department of Labor published the JOLTS report for September - the number of job openings in the labor market. The actual figure came in almost 400 thousand above the forecast, and the previous value was revised upward.
In October, positions worth more than $12.5 billion were forcibly closed on the crypto market. This is one of the most destructive months for leveraged trading: instead of the market's usual "Uptober," traders got "Rektober."
On October 30 at 11:00 Moscow time, monthly options on BTC worth $10.86 billion and on ETH worth $783 million expire on the Deribit exchange. After BTC fell below $80,000, downside protection there costs noticeably more than bets on growth.
The US published the PCE index for September. The monthly price increase came in below expectations, while annual inflation accelerated: headline to 3.6%, core to 3.1%.
Gold (XAU/USD) slipped to $4,036 on Thursday, losing 0.76% for the day and ending a three-day winning streak. The reason is the outcome of the Fed meeting: the rate was left untouched, but the option of a hike in December remained on the table, and key data on this issue is released today.
Over the past 24 hours, $356 million worth of positions were forcibly closed on the crypto market's futures, and almost 60% of them were longs. Bitcoin dropped from $81,700 to $79,800 during the Asian session on Thursday, cutting short a two-day rebound.
On 28 October, UK Chancellor Healey presented the annual budget to Parliament. The OBR (Office for Budget Responsibility, an independent state body that produces the forecasts underpinning the budget) downgraded its economic growth estimates, and the free fiscal buffer shrank from £23.6bn in March to £15bn.
Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Lori Logan said the Fed rate needs to be raised by at least another 50 basis points so that monetary policy becomes moderately restrictive and helps bring inflation back to the 2% target.
USD/JPY rose to 158.44, and the yen lost about 0.5% after the release of the Bank of Japan's summary of opinions. The market saw no signal in the document for a rate hike as early as October, and the absence of currency interventions further increased pressure on the yen.
EUR/USD falls for the fourth day in a row and has reached 1.1265, the lowest level since May 2025. Over four weeks, the euro has lost about 2.8% against the dollar amid a strong dollar, rising US yields and French debt risks.
Gold first rose to $4,220 after soft US inflation data, but then completely erased its gains and fell to $4,139-4,150. Pressure was intensified by rising US Treasury yields, a strong dollar and more hawkish rate expectations
US Core PCE for August slowed to 3.0% year-over-year versus a forecast of 3.3%. After the release, the dollar and government bond yields declined, while the probability of a Fed rate hike in October decreased.
