Live updates: promos, term changes, new challenges, payouts.
The rate was raised by 25 basis points, from 3.75% to 4%, exactly as the market expected. In the minutes, the Bank of England stated directly: further increases will most likely be needed, because inflation could approach 5% by mid-2027.
Consensus is 4.00% versus current 3.75% and a shift in the Committee vote from 3-0-6 to 7-0-2. GBP/USD approaches the decision at a seven-week high of 1.3485.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh spoke at 06:30 MSK at the IMF annual meeting in Bangkok and refused to give any hints on the rate. The dollar index DXY (the dollar's exchange rate against a basket of six currencies) moved to 101.82, down 0.22% and a 10-day low.
On Wednesday, October 14 at 15:30 MSK, the US will publish September CPI. The market expects headline inflation to accelerate to 3.6% year over year, while the monthly core reading, on the contrary, may slow to 0.2%.
Today, October 8, from 14:30 to 15:30 MSK, three important macro events come out in a row: the ECB protocols, a speech by Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and weekly US jobless claims. In one hour-long window, the euro, pound and dollar will be under reaction.
