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On October 30 at 11:00 Moscow time, monthly options on BTC worth $10.86 billion and on ETH worth $783 million expire on the Deribit exchange. After BTC fell below $80,000, downside protection there costs noticeably more than bets on growth.
The US publishes preliminary data on quarterly economic growth. The consensus expects more than a twofold acceleration - from 1.5% to 3.2% on an annualized basis. A high-importance event: the market reassembles its Fed rate expectations based on it.
BTC is trading around $82,538, but the range of its fluctuations has fallen to one of the lowest values in two and a half years. The two previous such compressions ended with a 30-35% move - in opposite directions.
On October 16, the U.S. Treasury publicly stated that Japan is no longer living in deflation, which means the yen exchange rate must reflect this. This is a repeated call for Tokyo to strengthen the JPY against the USD.
On October 15 at 15:30 Moscow time, the US released the producer price index for September (PPI - the prices at which factories and suppliers sell goods, that is, inflation at the input to the economy). The monthly increase was +1.3%: more than double expectations and triple August's +0.4%.
WTI is losing about 1.5% on Monday morning and trading around $90 per barrel, breaking a two-day rally. The pressure came after Donald Trump's statement about a possible halt to Russian and Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure, while the details of the agreement have not yet been confirmed by both sides.
Today, September 30, at 15:30 MSK, the US releases Core PCE. The forecast is 0.3% versus 0.2% a month earlier. The indicator is important for assessing the further trajectory of the Fed rate.
Protection triggers when the daily limit is reached: positions are closed, orders are canceled. You continue trading and progressing through the challenge on the same day.
