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After the US midterm elections, risk assets were bought back at once: BTC added more than 4% and recovered from its plunge below $76,000, WTI oil fell below $93, and S&P 500 futures returned to the month's highs.
According to vote counts in the US midterm elections, Democrats are taking both chambers of Congress. Index futures fell overnight, then reversed by the morning of November 4: Nasdaq +2.2%, S&P 500 +1.8%.
After the Democrats' victory in the US midterm elections, Nasdaq-100 futures (contracts on the index of the 100 largest technology companies) fell 2.4% overnight. By 16:11 Moscow time the decline had been fully recovered, and by 17:44 Moscow time the Nasdaq was recording growth of about 2%.
While the US was counting votes in the congressional elections, BTC fell to a seven-week low and by Wednesday evening had recovered almost the entire decline.
The DXY dollar index fell to 101.40 (-0.44% for the day) after the Democrats took both chambers of Congress. Yet the yen failed to capitalize on this: USD/JPY holds near 158.32, having lost just 0.24%.
At night, while votes were being counted in the US congressional elections, BTC dropped below $76,000 with a low of $75,700. By 09:16 Moscow time on November 4, it was trading around $77,918 (+1.6% over the day) — the entire dip was bought back within a few hours.
XAG/USD falls for the second day in a row and trades around $49.20 per troy ounce on Wednesday morning. On November 3, the metal dropped to $48.62 - a yearly low, while gold holds near $3,930.
On the morning of November 4, the Japanese market moved lower across the entire technology sector. Reuters links the sell-off to fears that a Democratic victory in the US elections will lead to tighter regulation of artificial intelligence.
Overnight into November 4, BTC lost more than $2,000 in a few hours and fell to $75,700. The trigger was the first results of the US midterm congressional elections, which indicated a Democratic advantage in both chambers.
On the morning of November 3, BTC fell below $77,000, while Asian exchanges opened down 3-4% due to chipmaker stocks. Over two sessions, $1.04 billion was withdrawn from US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (funds through which the asset is bought like a stock).
Bitcoin gained about 1% to ~$78,600 in Monday morning hours and is closing its third straight day of gains - even as a week ago Binance disclosed a $6.3B theft, the largest in crypto exchange history.
According to calculations by analytics firm K33, BTC's 28-day realized volatility (a measure of the actual magnitude of price fluctuations over a period) has dropped to 1.2% - nearly the lowest value for all of 2026. The market has frozen right before the Fed meeting and the US elections.
