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The DXY dollar index fell to 101.40 (-0.44% for the day) after the Democrats took both chambers of Congress. Yet the yen failed to capitalize on this: USD/JPY holds near 158.32, having lost just 0.24%.
The Fed's Open Market Committee voted 10 to 2 to keep the rate in the 3.75-4.00% range, but left the possibility of a hike as early as December in its statement. HSBC, in its November 2 currency review, confirmed its view of a strong dollar through 2027, warning that the path there will be bumpy.
On Friday the euro broke below the March 2025 levels against the British pound: the EUR/GBP pair touched 0.8336, a 19-month low. Strong eurozone economic data failed to convince the market, while the pound is rising on expectations that the Bank of England will raise rates as early as next week.
The Bank of Japan (BoJ, the country's central bank) will announce its rate decision on Friday, October 30. Almost no one expects a change - the rate is expected to stay at 1.25%. All the interest lies elsewhere: what the regulator will say about December, where the market sees a hike with a probability of about 80%.
Over the past 24 hours, $356 million worth of positions were forcibly closed on the crypto market's futures, and almost 60% of them were longs. Bitcoin dropped from $81,700 to $79,800 during the Asian session on Thursday, cutting short a two-day rebound.
On October 27, Deutsche Börse Group launched round-the-clock trading in stocks from the DAX 40 index — at night and on weekends, trades take place on the 360X venue. The group calls itself the first infrastructure in Europe to offer a 24/7 regime for traditional blue-chip stocks.
Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said on Tuesday, October 27, that the government is ready for decisive action in the currency market. This is a direct hint at intervention - selling dollars from reserves to support the yen.
September consumer price data was released at 02:30 Moscow time and came in above August levels across all measures. The yen strengthened, and the market is once again betting on a Bank of Japan rate hike in December.
US September inflation accelerated to 3.7% year-on-year versus a forecast of 3.6%. After the release, the market sharply raised expectations for another Fed rate hike, the DXY dollar index rose to 102.84, and EUR/USD fell to a 17-month low.
Pierre Wunsch, Governor of the National Bank of Belgium and member of the ECB Governing Council, said that at the next meeting the regulator will most likely raise the rate. For the market, this is an important signal, since expectations of a tighter policy directly affect the euro and asset yields in the eurozone.
On October 12, Bitcoin rose to $84,254, its highest since last Wednesday, but then lost about 2.2% from its peak and returned to $82,500. Pressure came from the oil market: WTI rose above $94, and Brent - to $107.25.
Fed Board of Governors member Christopher Waller said that inflation in the US remains too high and further rate hikes are still necessary. At the same time, new steps may come with pauses, rather than at every consecutive meeting.
EUR/USD lost about 0.85% on Monday and fell just above 1.1150, hitting its lowest since May 2025. Pressure on the euro intensified due to rising French government bond yields and uncertainty surrounding the country's budget.
USD/JPY rose to 158.44, and the yen lost about 0.5% after the release of the Bank of Japan's summary of opinions. The market saw no signal in the document for a rate hike as early as October, and the absence of currency interventions further increased pressure on the yen.
The USD/CHF pair rose to 0.8367 on the morning of October 1, a 16-month high, and has been rising for the seventh consecutive trading session. Pressure on the franc was intensified by weak investor expectations for the Swiss economy and the SNB's dovish stance.
Hash Hedge adds daily drawdown protection and increases cashback up to 15% on the Fed decision day
Access to the US stock market is now open via a separate trading terminal. This is now a permanent feature of the platform
