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Beth Hammack, head of the Cleveland Fed, on Thursday called gradual rate increases the best path for US monetary policy. Inflation, she said, is too high and moving in the wrong direction, so policy must become restrictive.
Long-term holders (those who haven't moved coins for more than 155 days) hold roughly 4M BTC bought in the $85,000-$118,000 range, mostly in 2025. At the current price that's about $326 billion, and more than half of these coins are at a loss.
Gold (XAU/USD) slipped to $4,036 on Thursday, losing 0.76% for the day and ending a three-day winning streak. The reason is the outcome of the Fed meeting: the rate was left untouched, but the option of a hike in December remained on the table, and key data on this issue is released today.
The European Central Bank will announce its rate decision today at 16:15 MSK, and at 16:45 MSK the press conference of ECB President Christine Lagarde will begin. The euro approaches the event at 1.1110 - this is the lowest level of the EUR/USD pair since May 2025.
Over the past 24 hours, $356 million worth of positions were forcibly closed on the crypto market's futures, and almost 60% of them were longs. Bitcoin dropped from $81,700 to $79,800 during the Asian session on Thursday, cutting short a two-day rebound.
On the evening of October 28, the Fed left the rate at 3.75-4%, although US inflation is still above the 2% target. The decision was not unanimous: two votes went for a 0.25 percentage point hike - a rare picture that immediately pushed currencies in different directions.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh spoke at 06:30 MSK at the IMF annual meeting in Bangkok and refused to give any hints on the rate. The dollar index DXY (the dollar's exchange rate against a basket of six currencies) moved to 101.82, down 0.22% and a 10-day low.
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said the U.S. economy remains strong and inflation is high. In her view, the Fed needs to continue tightening monetary policy, although the pace of rate hikes may be adjusted.
