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Since the start of October, investors have pulled more than $1 billion from US spot ETFs (exchange-traded funds through which Bitcoin and Ethereum are bought like an ordinary stock). BTC is trading at $81,266 and is 35.54% below its record high of $126,080.
MSCI (the largest provider of stock indices used by funds managing trillions of dollars) approved a rule on October 15: companies whose balance sheets are dominated by a single asset will lose their place in the MSCI Global Investable Market indices starting November 30, 2026. Bitcoin holders Strategy and Metaplanet are affected
On Friday, October 16, the US stock market closed lower: Nasdaq lost 2.3%, S&P 500 - 1.2%. For the week, the Nasdaq 100 posted its steepest decline since April 2025.
On October 16, silver (XAG/USD) closed the day down 0.77% at $56.86 per ounce. From $60.45 on October 12, the metal has lost $3.59, that is, about 6% in a week.
On the evening of October 16 at around 21:49 Moscow time, the Brent crude oil futures were trading above $110 per barrel. The market has not seen this level since May 2026
According to a CoinShares report, crypto asset investment products (exchange-traded funds and trusts through which institutions buy crypto like a stock) lost $434 million in net outflows in the week to October 16. The sell-off accelerated after the October 14 inflation data.
On October 16 at 15:30 MSK, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (US Bureau of Labor Statistics) published the import price index for September: +1.1% versus August against the expected +0.8%. In annual terms, growth accelerated to 8.1% from 7.0% a month earlier.
On October 16, the U.S. Treasury publicly stated that Japan is no longer living in deflation, which means the yen exchange rate must reflect this. This is a repeated call for Tokyo to strengthen the JPY against the USD.
Ethereum rose to $2,444.75, gaining 4.2% in 24 hours. Over the same period, $73.42 million in ETH positions were liquidated, and almost 60% of them were shorts.
On Friday morning, three signals at once from the Bank of Japan in favor of a further rate hike supported the yen, and the USD/JPY pair slid to 157.85. The regulator's next meeting is on October 29-30.
Index provider MSCI has adopted a new methodology for selecting companies: businesses that are essentially a cryptocurrency vault rather than an operating company will undergo a separate review. Strategy (MSTR) is under threat - the largest public holder of Bitcoin in the world.
XAU/USD rose to $4,165 at the start of the Asian session on Friday, October 16, ending a three-day losing streak. The trigger was a weaker dollar and a sharp drop in US Treasury yields
On October 16, Hash Hedge officially completed the transfer of all active challenges from the old personal account to the new platform.
On October 16, the calendar has four reasons for movement at once: inflation in the European Union, US industrial statistics, the fifth day of the annual IMF and World Bank meeting with central bank heads participating, and a morning speech by Fed Chair Warsh.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh spoke at 06:30 MSK at the IMF annual meeting in Bangkok and refused to give any hints on the rate. The dollar index DXY (the dollar's exchange rate against a basket of six currencies) moved to 101.82, down 0.22% and a 10-day low.
On Thursday, October 15, BTC dropped below $80,000, but recovered back to $82,300-82,500 in less than two hours. Over the day, $937.06 million worth of positions were forcibly closed on the crypto derivatives market.
One of the largest US brokers completed the rollout of spot BTC and ETH trading to retail clients and launched cryptocurrency transfers. By the end of the year, Solana, Avalanche, and Chainlink are promised to be added to the list.
The September report came out on October 15 at 15:31 MSK and turned out to be more than twice as strong as the forecast. But almost all of the growth came from gasoline and restaurants, while the part of the report key for GDP calculation fell short of the forecast.
On October 15 at about 16:54 MSK, BTC traded below $80,000 - a round level around which the bulk of the market's stop orders and leveraged positions are concentrated.
On October 15 at 15:30 Moscow time, the US released the producer price index for September (PPI - the prices at which factories and suppliers sell goods, that is, inflation at the input to the economy). The monthly increase was +1.3%: more than double expectations and triple August's +0.4%.
The DXY dollar index (the dollar's exchange rate against a basket of major currencies) has lost over the course of a day the entire spike it got from the hot US inflation report, and by Thursday was down more than 0.50% for the day.
On October 14, US exchange-traded funds (ETFs - a fund through which an asset is bought like an ordinary stock) on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana showed a total net outflow of about $171.5 million. A day earlier, the same funds took in $200.5 million.
US September inflation came in above forecast: 3.7% versus expected 3.6%. Today, October 15, the market will receive three more important data blocks - PPI, retail sales and weekly jobless claims.
The UK economy grew by 0.1% month-on-month in August, against a forecast of a 0.1% decline. After the data release, the pound strengthened, and GBP/USD rose by about 0.37%, to 1.3242.
