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S&P Global released preliminary US business activity indices for October today at 16:45 MSK. The indices themselves cooled slightly, but companies' selling prices are rising at the fastest pace in more than four years - and that's a week before the Fed meeting.
The minutes of the September FOMC meeting showed that most participants consider another rate hike by the end of 2026 appropriate. At the same time, the market reaction was limited, as such a scenario had already been priced into the Fed's September projections.
EUR/USD falls for the fourth day in a row and has reached 1.1265, the lowest level since May 2025. Over four weeks, the euro has lost about 2.8% against the dollar amid a strong dollar, rising US yields and French debt risks.
New York Fed President John Williams said that risks to employment have decreased, and inflation remains the key problem. The dollar responded with growth.
