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Global exchange-traded funds backed by physical gold attracted $30.7 billion in the third quarter of 2026. This is the largest quarterly inflow in the entire history of observations, and metal holdings in the funds hit an all-time high.
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said the U.S. economy remains strong and inflation is high. In her view, the Fed needs to continue tightening monetary policy, although the pace of rate hikes may be adjusted.
October 12 is a holiday in the US - Columbus Day. The stock market is open, but government bond trading is closed, so investors are temporarily left without one of the main benchmarks of recent weeks - Treasury yields.
Gold is trading around $4,215 on Monday and holds above $4,200. The metal is supported by the largest inflows into gold ETFs in four years, central bank buying and a weaker dollar.
On Wednesday, October 14 at 15:30 MSK, the US will publish September CPI. The market expects headline inflation to accelerate to 3.6% year over year, while the monthly core reading, on the contrary, may slow to 0.2%.
In September, Canada lost 68.3 thousand jobs, while employment growth was expected at 7 thousand. Unemployment rose to 6.5%, and USD/CAD climbed to 1.4276 amid a sharp drop in Canadian bond yields.
Today at 17:00 MSK, the preliminary University of Michigan survey will be released. The market's main focus is inflation expectations: in September, the one-year-ahead figure rose from 4.0% to 4.6%, while five-year expectations climbed to 3.4%.
Initial jobless claims in the US came in at 197K versus a forecast of 200K. The market read the data as a signal of no mass layoffs: government bond yields rose, while US indices moved lower.
Fed Board of Governors member Christopher Waller said that inflation in the US remains too high and further rate hikes are still necessary. At the same time, new steps may come with pauses, rather than at every consecutive meeting.
Today, October 8, from 14:30 to 15:30 MSK, three important macro events come out in a row: the ECB protocols, a speech by Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and weekly US jobless claims. In one hour-long window, the euro, pound and dollar will be under reaction.
