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On the night of October 5, Bitcoin rose to $86,972, but again failed to consolidate above and returned below $86,000. This is already the second failed attempt to break through the $87,000 zone in a week.
On October 2, the SEC allowed the listing on Cboe BZX of two new Volatility Shares funds - 3x Bitcoin ETF and 3x Ether ETF. They are designed for triple the daily movement of BTC and ETH and trade on the exchange like regular stocks.
On the morning of October 2, Bitcoin rose above $86,000 after nearly a week of consolidation. Large sell orders around $85,000 that had been holding back growth were removed, and inflows into spot BTC ETFs intensified again.
After softer inflation data, the market sharply lowered expectations for a Fed rate hike in October. The probability of such a decision dropped to about 35-37%, whereas at the beginning of the week it exceeded 70%
US Core PCE for August slowed to 3.0% year-over-year versus a forecast of 3.3%. After the release, the dollar and government bond yields declined, while the probability of a Fed rate hike in October decreased.
Robinhood has begun rolling out perpetual crypto futures trading for clients in the US. At launch, 8 assets are available, leverage up to 10x, settlement every 15 minutes, and a 0.01% fee per trade until the end of the year.
Today, September 30, at 15:30 MSK, the US releases Core PCE. The forecast is 0.3% versus 0.2% a month earlier. The indicator is important for assessing the further trajectory of the Fed rate.
According to CME FedWatch, market participants estimate the probability of a Fed rate hike at the October 28 meeting at above 70%. The case is historically exceptional: in October before US elections, the Fed has never once raised rates.
On September 28, CryptoQuant analysts recorded that the volume of altcoins traders transfer from their wallets to exchanges rose to its highest level since October 2025. This is usually what preparation for profit-taking looks like after a strong rally.
Bitcoin pulled back from an eight-month high of $87,381 to $83,900. Over the past day, the market faced $545 million in liquidations, most of which were long positions
